Autore: Schinaia, Giuseppe
Titolo: Gli effetti delle migrazioni sulle epidemie: problemi e modelli
Periodico: Annali del Dipartimento di metodi e modelli per l'economia, il territorio e la finanza
Anno: 2023 - Volume: 24 - Pagina iniziale: 1 - Pagina finale: 14

Epidemics and demographic dynamics frequently interact in the contem-porary globalized world and concurrently contribute to the spread of in-fections. Migrations constitute some relevant demographic dynamics among local communities and, when an epidemic is in act, they add fur-ther complexity to the model design of the epidemic and to its evaluation and possible control measures. This paper offers various schemes of epi-demic modelling, where the exogenous fractions of susceptible and in-fected/infectious individuals migrate into a local community on the basis of sociodemographic, economic and climate change issues. A classical Kermack-McKendrick SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) dynamical model is flexible enough to describe the spread of several common infec-tions such as most hepatitis, HIV/AIDS and other STD diseases, all ex-anthematous infections and others and is here adjusted to accommodatevarious schemes of migration, both susceptible and infected/infectious. Results of the modelling design provide qualitative information on the overall dynamics of the spread of the infections and can be used to ap-point more effective public health measures of control




SICI: 2385-0825(2023)24<1:GEDMSE>2.0.ZU;2-
Testo completo: https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa02/annali_memotef/article/view/1459/1365

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