Autore: Gini, Corrado
Titolo: Considerations on a posteriori probability
Periodico: Statistica
Anno: 2015 - Volume: 75 - Fascicolo: 2 - Pagina iniziale: 135 - Pagina finale: 151

In this first paper of 1911 relating to the sex ratio at birth, Gini repurposed a Laplaces succession rule according to a Bayesian version. The Ginis intuition consisted in assuming for prior probability a Beta type distribution and introducing the method of results (direct and indirect) for the determination of prior probabilities according to the statistical frequency obtained from statistical data.




SICI: 0390-590X(2015)75:2<135:COAPP>2.0.ZU;2-H

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