Associazione ESSPER periodici italiani di economia, scienze sociali e storia
Autore: Contini, Bruno Titolo: Forecasting errors: yet more problems for identification? Periodico: Economia politica Anno: 2011 - Volume: 28 - Fascicolo: 2 - Pagina iniziale: 185 - Pagina finale: 193
Forecasting errors pose a serious problem of identification, often neglected in empirical applications. Any attempt of estimating choice models under uncertainty may lead to severely biased results in the presence of forecasting errors even when individual expectations on future events are observed together with the standard outcome variables. The problem is illustrated by an empirical study on job changing behavior.