Titolo
A Hybrid Functional Linear Model with Exogenous Variables for Prediction in a District-Heating System
Periodico
Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale 'A. Avogadro' : Facoltà di Economia - Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Metodi Quantitativi "SEMEQ" - Quaderni
Anno: 2008 - Fascicolo: 17 - Pagina iniziale: 1 - Pagina finale: 19

This paper illustrates a functional regression method for the peaks of heat demand short-term forecast of the district heating system in Turin, a northern Italian city, using load curves and weather variables. Our data-set refers to data with a fifteen minutes frequency relative to heat consumption and climate for the period from 15 october to 30 April foe years 2001-02 and 2002-03. a model has to be estimated on the base of the first period, and its out-of-sample performances have to be evaluated on the second period.



Testo completo: http://semeq.unipmn.it/files/0817%20-%20Quaderno%20-%20.pdf

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