Autori
Lippi, F.Cukierman, A.Titolo
Labor markets and monetary union: a strategic analysis.Periodico
Banca d'Italia. Temi di discussioneAnno:
2000 - Volume:
2 - Fascicolo:
365 - Pagina iniziale:
1This paper analyzes the macroeconomic consequences of the establishment of a
monetary union in the presence of unionized labor markets. It is shown that the effects
of the formation of a monetary union depend on several labor market features, such as
the degree of centralization of wage bargaining, labor unions’ inÀation aversion and the degree of substitutability between the labor of different unions. In particular, the switch from national monetary policies to a uni¿ed monetary policy usually affects both inÀation
and unemployment, even when all structural parameters of the economy and of unions’ and
policymakers’ preferences remain the same. The benchmark case of a monetary union between identical countries suggests that the switch to a monetary union is likely to make labor unions more aggressive, increasing unemployment. Quali¿cations to this result are provided and their robustness is investigated under alternative structural assumptions, like cross-country
asymmetries, (pre-union) ERM membership and wage leadership.
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