Autori
Micklewright, John
Nagy, Gyula

Titolo
Flows to and from insured unemployment in Hungary
Periodico
European University Institute of Badia Fiesolana (Fi). Department of Economics - Working papers
Anno: 1994 - Fascicolo: 41 - Pagina iniziale: 1 - Pagina finale: 51

Registered unemployment has represented over 10% of the labour force in Hungary since mid-1992 but little is known about the inflows and outflows that result in an unemployment stock of this size. The paper investigates these flows using a sample of nearly 40,000 spells of unemployment insurance (UI) receipt drawn from administrative records of the UI system. We emphasise the modest level of inflows (although higher than previously thought) and show the variation in inflow rates by sex, age, education, and region. Outflows are remarkably low with UI exhaustion being the most common form of exit from the UI register for the individuals in our sample despite their often long entitlement periods to benefit. Following nonparametric analysis of the spell data we estimate a parametric competing risks model that summarises variation in exit probabilities with individual characteristics and region to six states - employment, subsidised employment, subsidised selfemployment, training, public works, and disqualification. We draw conclusions for labour market policy in Hungary and for further research.



Testo completo: http://hdl.handle.net/1814/520

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