Autori
Esteve, AlbertNishikido, MomokoCui, QiTitolo
Partnership dynamics and the fertility gap between Sweden and SpainPeriodico
GenusAnno:
2022 - Volume:
78 - Fascicolo:
26 - Pagina iniziale:
1 - Pagina finale:
20 - Supplemento:
1 - Parte:
20Below-replacement fertility has persisted across European countries for a few dec-
ades, though, with variation. Delays in age at first union and first birth have been key
factors in the declining fertility levels within these societies. While the vast majority of
births occurs within a stable partnership, the link between partnership formation and
childbearing is rarely taken into account. In this paper, we examine the role of partner-
ship formation in explaining the gap between Sweden and Spain regarding transitions
to first birth. We utilize data from the 2018 Spanish Fertility Survey and the 2012/2013
Swedish Generations and Gender Survey to explore transition probabilities to first
birth and implement Kitagawa decomposition and standardization techniques. Results
show that having a partner is a strong predictor of becoming a first-time parent in the
next 3 years, mainly within the ages 25 to 35. On average, Swedish first-birth transition
probabilities for women are only 12% higher than probabilities of Spanish counterparts
within this age range, suggesting that the proportion of partnerships formed plays a
crucial role in explaining the fertility gap. Decomposition results confirm that before
age 30, 74% of the difference in first-order births among women are due to the differ-
ence in partnership composition. We further find that earlier union formation in Spain
could potentially reduce childlessness levels. Overall, our study highlights the impor-
tance of examining the role of partnership dynamics in fertility studies.
SICI: 0016-6987(2022)78:26+<1:PDATFG>2.0.ZU;2-1
Testo completo:
https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00170-wEsportazione dati in Refworks (solo per utenti abilitati)
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